Long Term Assumptions (2010-2025)
- virtual worlds are common place
- do most things anywhere...work, leisure, recreation, etc.
- e-commerce for business and consumer is common place
- high-speed, secure, easy to use networks link all
- companies will focus on a very few things they do exceptionally well and outsource everything else to a network of world class partners for critical services
- markets bifurcate into extreme specialty or commodity behavior
- easy price comparison pushes prices to rock bottom on commodities
- mass customization and service give exactly what you want for a premium
- alternative energy sources hold fossil fuel demand at current levels
- hydrogen fuel cells emerging as viable technology for small scale off-grid power sources (homes, job sites, remote manufacturing)
- portable careers and mobile workforce are the norm
- more frequent changes, shorter duration at each firm, more independence, more sabbaticals, continual reeducation
- 80% of jobs will be knowledge based with robots and automation handling repetitive and dangerous tasks
- computers disappear as they become imbedded in everything and as common (and as taken for granted) as light bulbs
- a multi-cultural and older society in US
- Hispanics, African Americans and Asians combined approach half the US population
- Baby boomers will be 60 to 80 years old and US population over age 65 will double to 20% of total. Seven million will live to over 85 and 250,000 will break 100 years. As currently structured, 3/4 of federal budget (v. 40% today) will go to Social Security and Medicare payments.
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